November 8, 2021
When trying to think your way into your opponent's hand, you probably won't ever be able to initially pinpoint the precise cards he's holding unless he is extremely predictable or you know his play very well. But you will be able to assign a likely range of holdings and boil them down to a precious few based on his betting patterns, the shape of the board, and the actions of other Partypoker players who might also be involved in the hand. But a sharp player will not only be cognizant of the inherent strength of his own hand, he'll think about your hand too.
Some people think its foolish, but he is a consistent winner and he's in the game every day. Many of his critics are on the rail. I've adapted this "time out" technique to suit my own style. Whenever something at the Partypoker table upsets me, I get up, stretch and flex, touch my toes a few times, splash some cold water on my face, bounce a few times on the balls of my feet, take a good, athletic stance and walk back to the table with confidence and enthusiasm. It works!
This appears to be one of those situations in which raising or folding is far superior to calling. A call doesn't help you much, and might even attract additional callers who would probably have throw their hands away if you raised. Moreover, calling does not help you define the hands held by the two players who have already acted. Since the small blind plays any two cards under most circumstances, he's more likely to hold nothing at all, than he is to hold one of the two remaining fours.
She faked me out, to be sure, but deception is designed to earn the deceiver money, not cost them some. Had she raised the turn I'd have called, even though I'd have figured my pair of aces was then second best. And once I made the top two pair on the river, I probably would have raised if she came out betting, so her overarching caution cost her at least two - and probably three - additional bets.
Whenever something at the Partypoker table upsets me, I get up, stretch and flex, touch my toes a few times, splash some cold water on my face, bounce a few times on the balls of my feet, take a good, athletic stance and walk back to the table with confidence and enthusiasm. It works! Build relationships you can trust. This is not easy. You'll find plenty of people you can talk to in any cardroom, but damned few you can absolutely trust to speak openly, honestly, and truthfully with you.